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EU May Offer New Concessions to UK if Parl’t Votes Down Brexit Deal – JournoMarcus
Former British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has claimed that a no-deal Brexit would be superior to departing the EU with Prime Minister Theresa May’s much-maligned Chequers Plan. Journalist Marcus Stead has talked about the possibility of a no-deal Brexit with Sputnik.
Sputnik: Will Theresa May be able to get her Brexit deal approved in Parliament?
Marcus Stead: We are now being told that the meaningful vote on Theresa May’s deal will take place on the week beginning on January the 14th. It was originally due to take place on the 18th December and it was pulled just five days beforehand.
It could be pulled again because the parliamentary arithmetic has not changed at all over the festive period. Former Brexit Secretary David Davis hinted yesterday, that it could be pulled again, now Theresa May said on the Andrew Marr Show yesterday morning; which is a high profile political programme on British television, that it would definitely take place next week.© AP Photo / Charles McQuillan
The question therefore is; what has changed in practical terms since Mrs May decided not to go ahead with the original vote in mid-December? There was a December European Council meeting immediately after that decision was taken to postpone the vote, and Mrs May said she’d got some assurances from EU leaders then, but these seem very vague indeed and don’t seem to have changed many minds at all inside Parliament.READ MORE: EC Rules Out Brexit Renegotiation, Will Continue Implementing No-Deal Plan
Mrs May has had further conversations in recent days; but if you were to ask her what these assurances really are, these really don’t seem to get much of answer out of her whatsoever, but Mrs May has said that the next few days will be about these three things. Assurances on Northern Ireland, assurances of a role for Parliament as negotiations go into the next stage, and further assurances from the EU that she’s seeking, but she hasn’t said what those actually mean.
It’s all very vague and the first two assurances may become clearer in the next few days, but I very much doubt that she’ll get much from the EU in the days ahead.
Sputnik: Would departing on WTO rules be better than May’s plan?
Marcus Stead: Mrs May’s muddled thinking and lack of clarity since negotiations began have led to this situation. I was hoping that there would be a possibility of a Parliamentary consensus around the so-called Norway option of EFTA/EEA membership.
That would leave Britain inside the single market, but outside the customs union and free to negotiate trade deals with the wider world. Time is now limited on that; and if that doesn’t happen within the next few weeks, then time will run out because the logistics of joining EFTA by the 29th March deadline would be impossible.
So what is likely to happen with that in mind? If Mrs May’s deal is voted down in Parliament next week by a substantial margin, which seems likely; we would then be in a situation where a no deal Brexit would be a very real possibility.© AP Photo / Rui Vieira
I think that under those circumstances; it’s very likely that Mrs May would then return to the EU and say look, I’m not going to get the deal we agreed through Parliament, now bearing in mind you sell considerably more to the UK than the UK sells to the EU, what can you offer us?At that point; seeing that a no deal Brexit would do significant harm to the EU itself, the EU would offer Mrs May a number of significant concessions, which she would then put before Parliament, and after a lot of noise had been made on all sides, it would ultimately pass.
The EU has plenty of form on this sort of thing. Many treaties and negotiations have gone right down to the wire one minute before midnight; indeed it is pretty much the norm with EU negotiations and I’ll say this much; the next two months are going to be very dramatic. There’ll be scenes in Parliament that will be extraordinary, and I’ve got no doubt about that so fasten your seatbelts folks.
The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author do not necessarily reflect those of Sputnik.
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With an avg. 1.2M voters per MEP & Britain with 16% of EU GDP and 13% of the EU’s population yet having only 8% (if united) say, whilst holding less than 3% of the various offices within the EU Do note The EUropean Parliament has no ability to make policy and has a Commission of unelected bureaucrats, thus clearly the EU is not even a pretence of being a democracy despite its protestations!Do note that many senior apparatchicks and even elected politicians speak openly of the ‘Post Democratic era’ with no sense of shame or irony and in complete contempt of the so called electorate – yet The EU & many of its vassal States/Regions are all too willing to slaughter people in Sovereign States, to impose The EU’s chosen brand of democracy on them!
Now as President Junker announced in his ‘State of the union’ speech 2017 the aim is to create an EU military force and centralise ever more of the decision making and control!
The imposition of a Government and policies upon its vassal regions such as the peoples of Greece shows just how far from being a democracy the EU is.
Just follow the recent EU display of so called ‘Democracy’:
France and the Netherlands voted against the proposed EU constitution in 2005, only to have those votes ignored.
Ireland voted against ratifying the Lisbon treaty in 2008, but then later under pressure & threats had to change its mind.
Greece for me was the final straw. It became clear in 2015 that it didn’t matter which way the Greek people voted. The birthplace of democracy had become its tomb. That was enough. I was going to vote to leave the EU when the chance came.
No political party of any significance in Britain took active steps to achieve a Referendum – the task was eventually taken by an Indipendent West Midlands MEP Nikki Sinclaire who personally launched and funded the gathering of a petition of 225,000 signatures delivered to Parliament via Downing Street, thus forcing a debate in the House of Commons on an IN/OUT Referendum, which led to David Cameron’s first consequential rebellion.
It was due to winning that debate, officially opposed by every party including Ukip that David Cameron was forced to include a promise of an IN/OUT Referendum in the Tory Manifesto at the next General Election. The rest is history & despite no Parliamentary Party backing the OUT vote & Government spending Millions of Pounds of public money leafletting & promoting ‘Project Fear’ to try to persuade the British people to Remain just as they had at the first Referendum in 1975 – This time their lies and threats were not heeded and in the largest vote in British history Britain voted by a clear majority to Leave.
Nikki Sinclaire’s OUT result left Cameron & his co conspirator Osborne with no option but to resign, sadly some of the other traitors have remained to try to hinder progress to BreXit, aided by their corrupt allies in the EU and \eu funding and bribes!
There will be little or no change in Britain’s economic position, if we leave the EU, using a better negotiated, customised & updated version of the ‘Norway Model’ as a stepping stone to becoming a full member of the Eropean Economic Area, where all will benefit, as we secure trade relations with the EU’s vassal regions, with an EFTA style status and can trade and negotiate independently on the global stage, as members of The Commonwealth and the Anglosphere.
This is of course dependent on a modicum of intelligence on the part of Britain’s politicians and negotiators but it also requires the integrity of Parliament to uphod democracy and the integrity of EU politicuians & apparchicks to act ethically and without their normal vindictive mallice.
I believe Leaving the EU will be turned into something of a rough ride by the ignorant and the corrupt but I have no doubt that in the long run Leaving the EU will prove conclusively to be in the best interests of Britain and our true allies. I also believe that Britain leaving the EU will prove to be the catalyst to great changes within the EU and hopefully its democratisation as without great changes it is indubitably doomed.
Do not overlook the fact that politicians have plotted and schemmed since the 1950s and we have actually been vassals of the EU, when it was still using the aesopian linguistics and calling itself The Common Market in the early 1970s, a name the bureaucrats arbitrarily changed to EUropean Union in the early 1990s as they worked towards their long term goals of an ever closer centrally controlled Political and economic Union with its own anthem, currency, flag and rigid central control by its self appointed bureacrats towards a new Empirate –
It will take many years to rectify the mess our political class got us into and we have no other peacefull means by which to extricate ourselves than to depend on that self same self styled elite, who all too often forget they work for us!
One huge benefit of BreXit will be that we can negotiate with bodies like the WTO, UN, WHO, IMF, CODEX and the like, directly, in our own interest and that of our partners around the world, in both the Commonwealth and the Anglosphere at large; rather than having negotiations and terms imposed by unelected EU bureacrats and their interpretation of the rules handed down, as if they were some great achievement of the EU’s!The greatest change and benefit will be political, as we improve our democracy and self determination, with the ability to deselect and elect our own Government, with an improved Westminster structure, see >Harrogate Agenda<.
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