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There Are 2 Options: May’s Deal or No Deal! …
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There Are 2 Options: May’s Deal or No Deal!
I gave this interview to Radio Sputnik at 12:00pm today, before this evening’s developments, but what I said is still relevant. It’s the usual format, with text at the top and audio underneath: https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201903211073437628-brexit-deal-options-theresa-may-eu/ …
‘There Are 2 Options: May’s Deal or No Deal’ – Journo on Brexit
A short extension to the March 29 Brexit deadline will give UK lawmakers extra time to make a final decision that falls in line with the results of the 2016 EU membership referendum, UK Prime Minister Theresa May said on Thursday. Sputnik spoke with journalist Marcus Stead to discuss the recent developments around the Brexit deal.
Sputnik: Will Theresa May’s deal finally get through parliament, and if it doesn’t what do you think the outcome will be?
It’s been a chaotic few days and I think the best thing we can do is take a moment to look through the mist and examine exactly where we are with the Brexit process.
On Wednesday Theresa May sent the letter to Donald Tusk, the President of the European Council requesting an extension to Article Fifty until the thirtieth of June this year; that’s what it said on the letter, and the last time I appeared on Sputnik I urged caution and said that we shouldn’t take for granted that the extension will be agreed.
Today; Theresa May will have the opportunity to face the European Council, and the indication that’s coming from the EU, is that the short extension to Article Fifty will only be accepted if its purpose is to implement Theresa May’s deal once it’s been approved by the House of Commons.Even this should not be taken for granted; all twenty-seven EU member states need to agree to that, and we’ll know the answer to this either later today or tomorrow.
All it would take is for one to break rank, and there have been hints in the past few days that the likes of Angela Merkel of Germany, and Emmanuel Macron of France aren’t exactly enthralled with the idea of an extension, but perhaps we should be keeping an eye on how some of the less well known EU leaders are reacting, such as Italian Prime Minister Giuessepe Conte or Viktor Orban of Hungary, neither of whom are exactly friendly to the EU establishment.
Not enough emphasis is placed on what the EU makes of all this, by the mainstream media in the UK. Some of the mood music coming from Brussels is that they are getting pretty sick of the whole Brexit business, to put it frankly, and they want it over and done with because it’s holding them back from dealing with their other priorities.They are also not overly keen on this May’s European Parliamentary elections, because it would be very likely indeed that Nigel Farage’s new Brexit Party would do extremely well, and that would have all sorts of ramifications, as well as being highly embarrassing for the political establishment.
Let’s assume for a moment that the extension of Article Fifty until June is granted; on condition that its purpose is to implement Theresa May’s deal, and that takes us right back to the problem of getting it through parliament.
We saw at the start of the week how speaker John Bercow through a spanner in the works, when he said that the same piece of legislation could not be put before the house again during this parliamentary session, unless it was significantly amended.
It’s effectively the gift of speaker Bercow; whether the legislation can be put before the house at all next week, and it may be that some clever rewording is not enough and that there has to be a change in substance.
If that particular hurdle can be cleared, and that in itself is a big if; then Theresa May can quite reasonably present it to the house on this occasion, as a choice between her deal and a no deal Brexit, because that in effect is where we are.
The crucial component in all this, is getting the DUP MPs on board; they’ve been propping up her government since the 2017 general election, and they have significant concerns over the Northern Ireland backstop, but if those concerns can be alleviated, it’s very likely that a significant number of Conservative MPs who have previously rejected the deal, will fall into line.
The Labour MPs are likely to be on a three-line whip from Jeremy Corbyn to vote against the deal; but the whipping system in parliament seems to have all but collapsed in all sides of the house anyway, so if a small proportion of Labour MPs see it as a choice between Theresa May’s deal and no deal; it may well help get it over the line.
If it’s put before the house next week; we are going right down to the wire, it’s entirely possible that the Article Fifty extension to June is entirely conditional, on it being to implement Theresa May’s deal, so without that deal getting through the Commons, it’s entirely possible that the UK will leave a week on Friday at eleven pm.
There’s also been a lot of talk about the so-called incremental votes in the House of Commons if Mrs May’s deal is rejected next week; but I caution against this, when are they going to find enough time to have all of these debates and votes between now and next Friday? Secondly; looking at all the options, there is nothing close to a parliamentary majority for any of the options, whether it’s revoking Article Fifty, or a second referendum, or a lengthy extension to Article Fifty, and the Conservative Party are particularly cautious about this, so there are two options; Mrs May’s deal, or no deal, nothing else is on the table now.
Sputnik: Has the political elite betrayed the British public during the Brexit negotiations?
Marcus Stead: From the moment Brexit negotiations began; the whole process has been handled appallingly by Theresa May and her government, and the public is finding the whole process embarrassing.
If we go all the way back to the beginning; she became Prime Minister, not through a proper leadership contest, but effectively by a coronation, all the other candidates quickly fell away, she was the only one who wanted the job and was willing to take on the job.
We had a situation where the new Prime Minister supported remain all the way through the referendum, and she was being asked to take charge of the whole Brexit process, well that in itself was absurd.
Her heart was never in it and she gave most of the key cabinet positions to other remain supporters; the civil service, her closest advisors, they were almost all remain supporters, so from the outset these people at best regarded Brexit as a case of damage limitation to the UK, rather than as an opportunity to cut ourselves free from the miserable bureaucracy of the EU, and to form stronger links with the wider world.
The views and opinions expressed by the speaker in this article do not necessarily reflect those of Sputnik.
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With an avg. 1.2M voters per MEP & Britain with 16% of EU GDP and 13% of the EU’s population yet having only 8% (if united) say, whilst holding less than 3% of the various offices within the EU Do note The EUropean Parliament has no ability to make policy and has a Commission of unelected bureaucrats, thus clearly the EU is not even a pretence of being a democracy despite its protestations!Do note that many senior apparatchicks and even elected politicians speak openly of the ‘Post Democratic era’ with no sense of shame or irony and in complete contempt of the so called electorate – yet The EU & many of its vassal States/Regions are all too willing to slaughter people in Sovereign States, to impose The EU’s chosen brand of democracy on them!
Now as President Junker announced in his ‘State of the union’ speech 2017 the aim is to create an EU military force and centralise ever more of the decision making and control!
The imposition of a Government and policies upon its vassal regions such as the peoples of Greece shows just how far from being a democracy the EU is.
Just follow the recent EU display of so called ‘Democracy’:
France and the Netherlands voted against the proposed EU constitution in 2005, only to have those votes ignored.
Ireland voted against ratifying the Lisbon treaty in 2008, but then later under pressure & threats had to change its mind.
Greece for me was the final straw. It became clear in 2015 that it didn’t matter which way the Greek people voted. The birthplace of democracy had become its tomb. That was enough. I was going to vote to leave the EU when the chance came.
No political party of any significance in Britain took active steps to achieve a Referendum – the task was eventually taken by an Indipendent West Midlands MEP Nikki Sinclaire who personally launched and funded the gathering of a petition of 225,000 signatures delivered to Parliament via Downing Street, thus forcing a debate in the House of Commons on an IN/OUT Referendum, which led to David Cameron’s first consequential rebellion.
It was due to winning that debate, officially opposed by every party including Ukip that David Cameron was forced to include a promise of an IN/OUT Referendum in the Tory Manifesto at the next General Election. The rest is history & despite no Parliamentary Party backing the OUT vote & Government spending Millions of Pounds of public money leafletting & promoting ‘Project Fear’ to try to persuade the British people to Remain just as they had at the first Referendum in 1975 – This time their lies and threats were not heeded and in the largest vote in British history Britain voted by a clear majority to Leave.
Nikki Sinclaire’s OUT result left Cameron & his co conspirator Osborne with no option but to resign, sadly some of the other traitors have remained to try to hinder progress to BreXit, aided by their corrupt allies in the EU and \eu funding and bribes!
There will be little or no change in Britain’s economic position, if we leave the EU, using a better negotiated, customised & updated version of the ‘Norway Model’ as a stepping stone to becoming a full member of the Eropean Economic Area, where all will benefit, as we secure trade relations with the EU’s vassal regions, with an EFTA style status and can trade and negotiate independently on the global stage, as members of The Commonwealth and the Anglosphere.
This is of course dependent on a modicum of intelligence on the part of Britain’s politicians and negotiators but it also requires the integrity of Parliament to uphod democracy and the integrity of EU politicuians & apparchicks to act ethically and without their normal vindictive mallice.
I believe Leaving the EU will be turned into something of a rough ride by the ignorant and the corrupt but I have no doubt that in the long run Leaving the EU will prove conclusively to be in the best interests of Britain and our true allies. I also believe that Britain leaving the EU will prove to be the catalyst to great changes within the EU and hopefully its democratisation as without great changes it is indubitably doomed.
Do not overlook the fact that politicians have plotted and schemmed since the 1950s and we have actually been vassals of the EU, when it was still using the aesopian linguistics and calling itself The Common Market in the early 1970s, a name the bureaucrats arbitrarily changed to EUropean Union in the early 1990s as they worked towards their long term goals of an ever closer centrally controlled Political and economic Union with its own anthem, currency, flag and rigid central control by its self appointed bureacrats towards a new Empirate –
It will take many years to rectify the mess our political class got us into and we have no other peacefull means by which to extricate ourselves than to depend on that self same self styled elite, who all too often forget they work for us!
One huge benefit of BreXit will be that we can negotiate with bodies like the WTO, UN, WHO, IMF, CODEX and the like, directly, in our own interest and that of our partners around the world, in both the Commonwealth and the Anglosphere at large; rather than having negotiations and terms imposed by unelected EU bureacrats and their interpretation of the rules handed down, as if they were some great achievement of the EU’s!The greatest change and benefit will be political, as we improve our democracy and self determination, with the ability to deselect and elect our own Government, with an improved Westminster structure, see >Harrogate Agenda<.
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